Lowest admissions rate: the eligible comparison set comes before ranking
ADMITLOWGROUP compares institutions under specific eligibility rules. A lower percentage outside the defined group does not automatically alter the result.
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What the primary record establishes
CFTC record 65593, dated 22 October 2026, contains KalshiEX’s ADMITLOWGROUP filing on admissions-rate comparisons. CFTC record 65593, 22 October 2026 ↗
What the distinction changes
Eligibility precedes ranking. A smaller percentage for a different program, period or comparison group is not enough to insert it into the contractual comparison.
What to check before drawing a conclusion
The document also addresses ties and cases where the eligible group is insufficient. This article does not present an actual university ranking as an established contract outcome.
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Original WFN vector illustrationWFN · 24 October 2026
Editorial noteSource-based explanation with original WFN analysis. Historical records retain their dates; numerical examples are illustrative. The original vector illustration is conceptual and is not documentary evidence.
WFN REALITY LEDGER
What is on the record?
Primary-source explainer
Primary-source explainer
Primary record / reference period22 October filing; admissions comparison definitions
The linked source supports the documented record; WFN interpretation and illustrative examples are separate.
ADMITLOWGROUP compares institutions under specific eligibility rules. A lower percentage outside the defined group does not automatically alter the result.
01 · VERIFIED RECORD
What the primary record establishes
CFTC record 65593, dated 22 October 2026, contains KalshiEX’s ADMITLOWGROUP filing on admissions-rate comparisons. CFTC record 65593, 22 October 2026 ↗
The terms fix the Ivy League set at first listing, identify institutions through IPEDS and specify an eligible fall first-time undergraduate cohort. Counts must be institution-reported rather than imputed. KalshiEX — ADMITLOWGROUP terms ↗
02 · WFN EDITORIAL ANALYSIS
What the distinction changes
Eligibility precedes ranking. A smaller percentage for a different program, period or comparison group is not enough to insert it into the contractual comparison.
The calculation must preserve the required precision. Rounding close rates too early can create a tie absent from the underlying measure.
03 · REVIEW POINTS
What to check before drawing a conclusion
The document also addresses ties and cases where the eligible group is insufficient. This article does not present an actual university ranking as an established contract outcome.
Correct review records institution, cohort, data vintage and exception rule. The aim is to understand an admissions question, not to infer academic quality or a particular applicant’s chance from a single selectivity statistic.
